NCAA Men’s Basketball Bracketology 3/5
Keep in mind where the power rankings are more about how good I think teams actually are. Bracketology is putting them where I think the committee would have them if the season ended today.
Gonzaga, Arizona, Baylor, and Auburn (+1)
The major change here is Kansas dropping to a two seed and Auburn up to a one. With that being said, if the Jayhawks beat Texas today they are back to a one seed as Auburn falls to a two.
Kansas (-1), Kentucky, Duke, and Wisconsin (+1)
Kansas may not be here for long (see above). The last two one seeds could really go a lot of different ways, leaving this two line tough to predict.
Wisconsin moves up to a two seed after completing the season sweep of Purdue. While the computers do not love the Badgers, their resume has become too impressive to ignore.
Purdue (-1), Texas Tech, Tennessee, and Villanova (+1)
The Boilermakers fell due to a banked in buzzer beater in Madison. Purdue could climb back to a two seed if they can win the Big Ten conference tournament.
Villanova has switched places with Providence. I do not like the Wildcats resume as much as the rest of the bracketologist. They are very vulnerable and could easily slide back down.
Providence (-1), UCLA, Houston (+1), and Illinois
Providence, much like Wisconsin, has a really strong resume but the metrics are not as kind. Again, wins matter and this team could easily move back up to a three seed with a strong finish.
Houston entered the four line after Alabama dropped a home game to Texas A&M. The Cougars continue to win in impressive fashion despite not being fully healthy.
UConn, St. Mary’s, Texas, Arkansas (+1)
UConn, St. Mary’s, and Texas are pretty much locked as five seeds unless they go crazy and win out the rest of the way. Arkansas who was the benefactor of another puzzling loss for the Crimson Tide.
Arkansas is playing some of the best basketball in the nation. You do not want to be the four seed across from the Razorbacks.
Iowa (+1), Alabama (-2), Colorado State, and Murray State (+1)
Iowa has continued to climb after winning five in a row. This Hawkeyes team is even playing defense. Murray State could become the first team to punch their ticket to the dance when the play Morehead State for the OVC title before moving to the Missouri Valley Conference next season.
Ohio State (-1), LSU, USC (-1), and Boise State
Ohio State followed a great road win over Illinois with two bad losses to Maryland and Nebraska moving them down. The Buckeyes could easily slide back up to a six seed (that is where the bracketmatrix.com currently has them) with a win over Michigan to end the regular season and a strong showing in the Big Ten Tournament.
Davidson, Iowa State, Seton Hall (+1), TCU (+2)
Seton Hall moved up due to Michigan State and Marquette losing. This TCU team has been extremely well and almost beat Kansas for a second straight time taking them down to the wire on the road. Jamie Dixon deserves Coach of the Year votes nationally.
Michigan State (-1), North Carolina, Marquette (-1), and San Diego State
The Spartans and limping to the finish line. They have lost five of their last six and if they lose to Maryland to end the regular season they will be back on the bubble.
Creighton, North Texas (+1), San Francisco (-1), and Notre Dame (+1)
North Texas and Notre Dame did not really do anything to improve their seeding, they are just letting other bubble teams around them lose. They move up after Xavier and Wyoming had weeks that are making their fans sweat.
Miami, Xavier (-1), Rutgers (NEW), and Michigan
Michigan needs a win over Ohio State in the regular season finale to lock themselves into the field. A loss today and they will need at least one win in the Big Ten tournament to make the field. Xavier is another team who went from being pretty safe to needing a strong finish to hear their name called on Selection Sunday.
Memphis (-1), Loyola-Chicago/Wyoming (-1), Indiana/Wake Forest, and South Dakota State
Wyoming was as high as a nine seed only two weeks ago. Since then they have a bad loss to New Mexico and losses to solid teams in Colorado State, San Diego State, and UNLV, but will need to win at home against Fresno State to stay in the field.
Loyola needs a revenge win over Northern Iowa in the MVC Semi Finals if they want to stay in the field. If they lose the Panthers will take their place in the field as the automatic qualifier. Iona would move to the last 12 seed and the Northern Iowa would become a 13.
Iona, Vermont, Chattanooga, and New Mexico State
Toledo, Towson, Liberty, and Bryant
Princeton, Texas State, Long Beach St., and Montana St.
Nicholls St., Texas Southern, Norfolk State, Colgate, Longwood, and Cleveland St.
- First Four Out: VCU, SMU, BYU, Oregon
- Next Four Out: Florida, Dayton, Oklahoma, and Kansas State
16. Nicholls St./Texas Southern
8. Iowa State
9. San Diego St.
13. New Mexico State
San Diego, CA
5. St. Mary’s
12. South Dakota St.
3. Texas Tech
San Diego, CA
6. Colorado St.
10. North Texas
Fort Worth, TX
15. Texas State
16. Cleveland State
Fort Worth, TX
9. North Carolina
12. Indiana/Wake Forest
8. Seton Hall
7. Ohio State
10. San Francisco
15. Long Beach St.
16. Norfolk St/Longwood
San Diego, CA
9. Michigan State
6. Murray State
7. Boise State
10. Notre Dame
15. Montana State
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